IndusInd Bank shares drop due to derivative mismatch; Here’s the crisis explained

1. Accounting Discrepancy Uncovered

  • IndusInd Bank detected an accounting mismatch of ₹1,577 crore (post-tax) during an internal review of forex derivative transactions.
  • This accounts for 2.35% of the bank’s net worth as of December 2024.

2. Impact on Stock Price

  • On Tuesday, IndusInd Bank’s stock crashed 27.17% on the BSE, marking its biggest one-day fall since listing.
  • The stock closed at ₹655.95 per share, the lowest since November 2020.
  • On Wednesday, the stock recovered 5%, trading at ₹691 per share at 10:15 AM.

3. Banking Sector Precedents

  • YES Bank (2020) faced a crisis due to high NPAs and low liquidity coverage ratio (LCR).
  • The RBI has taken action against several financial institutions for governance and accounting issues, including:
    • Aviom India Housing
    • New India Co-operative Bank
    • Laxmi Vilas Bank
    • IL&FS
    • DHFL
    • Punjab and Maharashtra Cooperative Bank (PMC)

4. The Derivative Accounting Mismatch

  • Banks hedge foreign-currency exposure through internal and external derivative contracts.
  • External trades were marked-to-market (MTM), affecting the profit and loss (P&L) account.
  • Internal trades used swap cost accounting, affecting the asset book instead of P&L.
  • This inflated net interest income (NII) and hid actual trading losses, which surfaced when trades matured.

5. Regulatory Compliance Issues

  • RBI’s Investment Portfolio Classification & Valuation Rules (2023) came into effect on April 1, 2024.
  • Most banks complied by June 2024, but IndusInd delayed compliance until November 2024, worsening the losses.

6. Management Challenges

  • CFO Gobind Jain resigned before the December quarter results.
  • MD & CEO Sumant Kathpalia got only a one-year extension instead of the three-year term proposed by the board.

7. Market & Analyst Reactions

  • Most brokerages downgraded IndusInd Bank’s stock due to uncertain earnings.
  • Elara Capital downgraded the stock from “Accumulate” to “Sell”, citing risk of earnings downgrades.
  • The bank has hired an external agency to verify losses and assess the impact.

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